WallStSmart

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

National Bank Holdings Corporation stock (NBHC) is currently trading at $38.44. National Bank Holdings Corporation PE ratio is 13.15. National Bank Holdings Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 4.24. Analyst consensus price target for NBHC is $46.25. WallStSmart rates NBHC as Underperform.

  • NBHC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • NBHC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • NBHC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • NBHC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • NBHC fair value vs current price
  • NBHC insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is NBHC undervalued or overvalued?
  • National Bank Holdings Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • NBHC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • NBHC analyst price target and Smart Rating
NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corporation

NYSEFINANCIAL SERVICES
$38.44
$0.40 (1.05%)
52W$31.80
$42.65
Target$46.25+20.3%

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IV

NBHC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC)

Margin of Safety
-114.3%
Significantly Overvalued
NBHC Fair Value
$19.38
Graham Formula
Current Price
$38.44
$19.06 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $19.38
Overvalued
Price $38.44
Graham IV $19.38
Analyst $46.25

NBHC trades 114% above its Graham fair value of $19.38, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, profit margin. Concerns around return on equity and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
27.50%10/10

Keeps $28 of every $100 in revenue as net profit

Institutional Own.Quality
85.19%10/10

85.19% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Operating MarginProfitability
24.10%8/10

Strong operational efficiency: $24 kept per $100 revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.228/10

Trading at 1.22x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
13.15
Undervalued
Forward P/E
13.79
Attractive
Trailing P/E
13.15
Undervalued

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-7.70%0/10

Revenue declining -7.70%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-41.90%0/10

Earnings declining -41.90%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
8.15%3/10

Low profitability relative to shareholder equity

Price/SalesValuation
4.244/10

Premium valuation at 4.2x annual revenue

Market CapQuality
$1.69B5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

PEG RatioValuation
1.576/10

Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Profit Margin, Institutional Own., Operating Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (1.22) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 24.10%, Profit Margin at 27.50%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.57), Price/Sales (4.24) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -7.70%, EPS Growth at -41.90%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 8.15%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 8.15% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -7.70% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Profit Margin, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

NBHC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

NBHC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.24x sits near its historical average of 4.75x (48th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 52% below its historical high of 8.88x set in Aug 2018, and 58% above its historical low of 2.68x in Apr 2025. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~2.9x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) · FINANCIAL SERVICESBANKS - REGIONAL

The Big Picture

National Bank Holdings Corporation faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 398M with 8% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 27.5%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 815.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 27.5% and operating margin of 24.1% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 8% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 324.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor BANKS - REGIONAL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact National Bank Holdings Corporation.

Bottom Line

National Bank Holdings Corporation faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About National Bank Holdings Corporation(NBHC)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

FINANCIAL SERVICES

Industry

BANKS - REGIONAL

Country

USA

National Bank Holdings Corporation is the banking holding company for NBH Bank offering various banking products and financial services to commercial, commercial and consumer clients in the United States. The company is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.