Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. stock (NCDL) is currently trading at $13.19. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. PE ratio is 10.03. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 8.56. Analyst consensus price target for NCDL is $15.00. WallStSmart rates NCDL as Sell.
- NCDL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NCDL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NCDL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NCDL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NCDL fair value vs current price
- NCDL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NCDL undervalued or overvalued?
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NCDL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NCDL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
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NCDL Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)
NCDL trades 60% above its Graham fair value of $8.84, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) · 4 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/book. Concerns around price/sales. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Key Strengths (1)
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Supporting Valuation Data
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Areas to Watch (3)
Very expensive at 8.6x annual revenue
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Moderate institutional interest at 31.48%
Supporting Valuation Data
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 23/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 4 metrics analyzed, 1 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 3 fall into concern territory (avg 4.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (0.74) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Price/Sales, Market Cap, Institutional Own.. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (8.56) suggest expensive pricing.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Price/Sales improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, overall profitability trends. Third, top-line growth trajectory.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Price/Sales and Market Cap are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NCDL Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NCDL's Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.56x sits near its historical average of 8.39x (33th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 2% below its historical high of 8.75x set in Mar 2026, and 11% above its historical low of 7.71x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~7.7x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
Insider Transactions
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About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.(NCDL)
NYSE
FINANCIAL SERVICES
ASSET MANAGEMENT
USA
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) is a closed-end fund that focuses on middle-market loans and debt investments within the U.S., employing a direct lending strategy to achieve attractive risk-adjusted returns. Managed by the experienced team at Nuveen, the fund leverages its extensive industry knowledge and strong relationships to identify high-quality investment opportunities in the private credit sector. NCDL’s proactive management approach is designed to stabilize its portfolio while generating consistent income and capital appreciation, making it an appealing choice for institutional investors seeking exposure to resilient income-generating assets.