National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
National CineMedia Inc stock (NCMI) is currently trading at $3.21. National CineMedia Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.28. Analyst consensus price target for NCMI is $5.50. WallStSmart rates NCMI as Hold.
- NCMI PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NCMI PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NCMI intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NCMI stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NCMI fair value vs current price
- NCMI insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NCMI undervalued or overvalued?
- National CineMedia Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NCMI Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NCMI analyst price target and Smart Rating
National CineMedia Inc
📊 No data available
Try selecting a different time range
Smart Analysis
National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, operating margin, price/sales. Concerns around return on equity and profit margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) Key Strengths (6)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
92.70% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Strong operational efficiency: $28 kept per $100 revenue
Paying $1.28 for every $1 of annual revenue
Strong earnings growth at 20.80% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) Areas to Watch (4)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Modest revenue growth at 8.00%
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Supporting Valuation Data
National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 64/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 2.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.70), Price/Sales (1.28), Price/Book (0.80) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 27.80%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 20.80%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 8.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -2.70%, Profit Margin at -4.36%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -2.70% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 8.00% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Price/Book) and negatives (Return on Equity, Profit Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NCMI Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NCMI's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.28x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 3.18x (12th percentile). The current valuation is 92% below its historical high of 15.12x set in Jun 2021, and 2454% above its historical low of 0.05x in Mar 2023. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~2.2x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) · COMMUNICATION SERVICES › ADVERTISING AGENCIES
The Big Picture
National CineMedia Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 243M with 8% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -4.4% profit margin.
Key Findings
Generating 6M in free cash flow and 8M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 30M in cash.
The company is unprofitable with a -4.4% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor ADVERTISING AGENCIES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact National CineMedia Inc.
Bottom Line
National CineMedia Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Loading insider activity...
About National CineMedia Inc(NCMI)
NASDAQ
COMMUNICATION SERVICES
ADVERTISING AGENCIES
USA
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates a theatrical advertising network in North America. The company is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.