Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc stock (NGVC) is currently trading at $24.88. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc PE ratio is 16.93. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.44. Analyst consensus price target for NGVC is $54.00. WallStSmart rates NGVC as Hold.
- NGVC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NGVC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NGVC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NGVC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NGVC fair value vs current price
- NGVC insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NGVC undervalued or overvalued?
- Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NGVC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NGVC analyst price target and Smart Rating
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
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NGVC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
NGVC trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $87.98, offering a 72% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, return on equity, price/sales. Concerns around operating margin and profit margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Every $100 of equity generates $24 in profit
Good growth relative to its price
Strong earnings growth at 25.00% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) Areas to Watch (6)
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Modest revenue growth at 6.30%
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Fairly priced relative to book value
Moderate institutional interest at 41.45%
Supporting Valuation Data
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 60/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 4.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.44), Price/Sales (0.44) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 23.60%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 25.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (2.65) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 6.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 4.74%, Profit Margin at 3.31%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 23.60% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 6.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Return on Equity) and negatives (Operating Margin, Profit Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NGVC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NGVC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.44x trades 34% below its historical average of 0.66x (53th percentile). The current valuation is 83% below its historical high of 2.63x set in Aug 2013, and 211% above its historical low of 0.14x in Oct 2017. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.7x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › GROCERY STORES
The Big Picture
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 1.3B with 6% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 3.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 23.6% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 12M in free cash flow and 21M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor GROCERY STORES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.
Bottom Line
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(9 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:00:50 AM
About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc(NGVC)
NYSE
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
GROCERY STORES
USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.