Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Northrop Grumman Corporation stock (NOC) is currently trading at $691.21. Northrop Grumman Corporation PE ratio is 23.47. Northrop Grumman Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.32. Analyst consensus price target for NOC is $724.39. WallStSmart rates NOC as Hold.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) stock price prediction for 2030: Base case $583.26. Bull case $729.08. Bear case $437.45. See full NOC 2030 price forecast and methodology on WallStSmart.
- NOC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NOC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NOC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NOC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NOC fair value vs current price
- NOC insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NOC undervalued or overvalued?
- Northrop Grumman Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NOC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NOC analyst price target and Smart Rating
Northrop Grumman Corporation
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NOC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
NOC appears undervalued based on the Graham Formula, trading 25% below its estimated fair value of $904.35.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Key Strengths (3)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $26 in profit
83.50% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Supporting Valuation Data
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Areas to Watch (7)
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very expensive at 6.0x book value
Modest revenue growth at 9.60%
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.32x sales
Solid earnings growth at 15.20%
Supporting Valuation Data
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.7/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 4.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 26.20%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (5.36), Price/Sales (2.32), Price/Book (6.02) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 9.60%, EPS Growth at 15.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 16.50%, Profit Margin at 9.97%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether PEG Ratio improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 26.20% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 9.60% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Institutional Own.) and negatives (PEG Ratio, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NOC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NOC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.32x trades 113% above its historical average of 1.09x (95th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 10% below its historical high of 2.57x set in Mar 2026, and 545% above its historical low of 0.36x in Feb 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) · INDUSTRIALS › AEROSPACE & DEFENSE
The Big Picture
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 42.0B with 10% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 10.0%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 2620.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 3.2B in free cash flow and 3.9B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Northrop Grumman Corporation push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 19.7B is significantly higher than cash (4.4B). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Northrop Grumman Corporation.
Bottom Line
Northrop Grumman Corporation offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Northrop Grumman Corporation(NOC)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
AEROSPACE & DEFENSE
USA
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.