NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc stock (NSSC) is currently trading at $42.74. NAPCO Security Technologies Inc PE ratio is 30.80. NAPCO Security Technologies Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 7.55. Analyst consensus price target for NSSC is $49.67. WallStSmart rates NSSC as Moderate Buy.
- NSSC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NSSC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NSSC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NSSC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NSSC fair value vs current price
- NSSC insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NSSC undervalued or overvalued?
- NAPCO Security Technologies Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NSSC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NSSC analyst price target and Smart Rating
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
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NSSC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC)
NSSC trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $61.78, offering a 30% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in return on equity, operating margin, eps growth. Concerns around peg ratio and price/book. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) Key Strengths (5)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $26 in profit
Keeps $31 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
Earnings per share surging 32.20% year-over-year
Keeps $25 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
91.37% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Supporting Valuation Data
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) Areas to Watch (5)
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very expensive at 7.8x book value
Premium valuation at 7.5x annual revenue
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Solid revenue growth at 12.20% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 67/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 26.40%, Operating Margin at 30.60%, Profit Margin at 24.70%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 32.20%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (16.27), Price/Sales (7.55), Price/Book (7.85) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 12.20%, which may limit upside.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether PEG Ratio improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 26.40% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 12.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Operating Margin) and negatives (PEG Ratio, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NSSC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NSSC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.55x trades 173% above its historical average of 2.77x (96th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 13% below its historical high of 8.66x set in Mar 2026, and 1352% above its historical low of 0.52x in Feb 2009. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~8.7x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
Compare NSSC with Competitors
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Data-driven financial summary for NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) · INDUSTRIALS › SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
The Big Picture
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc is a mature, profitable business with steady cash generation. Revenue reached 192M with 12% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 24.7%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
ROE of 2640.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Profit margin of 24.7% and operating margin of 30.6% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 129.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact NAPCO Security Technologies Inc.
Bottom Line
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc is a well-established business delivering consistent profitability with 24.7% margins. The growth phase may be slowing, but strong cash generation and operational efficiency make it suitable for investors seeking reliability over excitement.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About NAPCO Security Technologies Inc(NSSC)
NASDAQ
INDUSTRIALS
SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
USA
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells security products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Amityville, New York.