Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Obsidian Energy Ltd stock (OBE) is currently trading at $9.07. Obsidian Energy Ltd PE ratio is 24.36. Obsidian Energy Ltd PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.10. Analyst consensus price target for OBE is $6.73. WallStSmart rates OBE as Sell.
- OBE PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- OBE PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- OBE intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- OBE stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- OBE fair value vs current price
- OBE insider transactions and insider buying
- Is OBE undervalued or overvalued?
- Obsidian Energy Ltd financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- OBE Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- OBE analyst price target and Smart Rating
Obsidian Energy
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OBE Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)
OBE trades 228% above its Graham fair value of $2.45, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Key Strengths (2)
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Paying $1.10 for every $1 of annual revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Areas to Watch (7)
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -39.20%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -42.90%, profits shrinking
Very low returns on shareholder equity
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Low institutional interest, mostly retail-driven
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Supporting Valuation Data
Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 34/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Book, Price/Sales. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.10), Price/Book (0.58) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -39.20%, EPS Growth at -42.90%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 2.52%, Operating Margin at -0.70%, Profit Margin at 6.51%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 2.52% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -39.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Operating Margin and Revenue Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
OBE Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
OBE's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.10x sits near its historical average of 1.05x (86th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 0% below its historical high of 1.1x set in Mar 2026, and 13% above its historical low of 0.97x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.0x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS E&P
The Big Picture
Obsidian Energy Ltd operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 541M with 39% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.5%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 252.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 1M in cash.
Revenue contracted 39% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
Free cash flow is -26M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Obsidian Energy Ltd push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 150M is significantly higher than cash (1M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Obsidian Energy Ltd.
Bottom Line
Obsidian Energy Ltd offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:26:19 AM
About Obsidian Energy Ltd(OBE)
NYSE MKT
ENERGY
OIL & GAS E&P
USA
Obsidian Energy Ltd. explores, develops and produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.