Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg stock (OLLI) is currently trading at $91.01. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg PE ratio is 23.97. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.16. Analyst consensus price target for OLLI is $138.60. WallStSmart rates OLLI as Hold.
- OLLI PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- OLLI PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- OLLI intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- OLLI stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- OLLI fair value vs current price
- OLLI insider transactions and insider buying
- Is OLLI undervalued or overvalued?
- Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- OLLI Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- OLLI analyst price target and Smart Rating
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
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OLLI Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)
OLLI trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $182.05, offering a 38% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in eps growth, institutional own.. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) Key Strengths (3)
110.38% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Strong earnings growth at 25.60% per year
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) Areas to Watch (7)
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Premium pricing at 3.2x book value
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.16x sales
Solid revenue growth at 16.80% per year
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.3/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 4.7/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., EPS Growth, Market Cap. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 25.60%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are PEG Ratio, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.08), Price/Sales (2.16), Price/Book (3.21) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 16.80%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 13.40%, Operating Margin at 14.00%, Profit Margin at 9.08%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether PEG Ratio improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 13.40% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 16.80% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., EPS Growth) and negatives (PEG Ratio, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
OLLI Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
OLLI's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.16x trades 24% below its historical average of 2.84x (25th percentile). The current valuation is 61% below its historical high of 5.47x set in Sep 2018, and 43% above its historical low of 1.51x in Mar 2022. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~3.1x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › DISCOUNT STORES
The Big Picture
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 2.6B with 17% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 9.1%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 1340.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 182M in free cash flow and 182M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg.
Bottom Line
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg offers an attractive blend of growth (17% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(7 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SWYGERT, JOHN W Director, Executive Chairman | Sell | -1,126 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:25:35 AM
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg(OLLI)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
DISCOUNT STORES
USA
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a branded product retailer. The company is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.