Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Origin Materials Inc stock (ORGN) is currently trading at $3.31. Origin Materials Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.70. Analyst consensus price target for ORGN is $0.50. WallStSmart rates ORGN as Sell.
- ORGN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ORGN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ORGN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ORGN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ORGN fair value vs current price
- ORGN insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ORGN undervalued or overvalued?
- Origin Materials Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ORGN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ORGN analyst price target and Smart Rating
Origin Materials Inc
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Smart Analysis
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, eps growth. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Key Strengths (3)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Earnings per share surging 266.70% year-over-year
Supporting Valuation Data
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -43.20%, a shrinking business
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Very low institutional interest at 13.27%
Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility
Supporting Valuation Data
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 39/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 0.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.70), Price/Book (0.05) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 266.70%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -43.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -21.10%, Operating Margin at -359.10%, Profit Margin at -275.00%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -21.10% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -43.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ORGN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
ORGN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.70x sits near its historical average of 0.74x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 29% below its historical high of 0.98x set in Mar 2026, and 3395% above its historical low of 0.02x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.9x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) · BASIC MATERIALS › CHEMICALS
The Big Picture
Origin Materials Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 25M with 43% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -275.0% profit margin.
Key Findings
Revenue contracted 43% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
The company is unprofitable with a -275.0% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor CHEMICALS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Origin Materials Inc.
Bottom Line
Origin Materials Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(9 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
PLAVAN, MATTHEW T CFO and COO | Sell | -12,000 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 12:56:57 PM
About Origin Materials Inc(ORGN)
NASDAQ
BASIC MATERIALS
CHEMICALS
USA
Origen Financial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan.