WallStSmart

Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Patria Investments Ltd stock (PAX) is currently trading at $11.55. Patria Investments Ltd PE ratio is 16.47. Patria Investments Ltd PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 4.68. Analyst consensus price target for PAX is $17.29. WallStSmart rates PAX as Underperform.

  • PAX PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • PAX PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • PAX intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • PAX stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • PAX fair value vs current price
  • PAX insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is PAX undervalued or overvalued?
  • Patria Investments Ltd financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • PAX Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • PAX analyst price target and Smart Rating
PAX

Patria Investments

NASDAQFINANCIAL SERVICES
$11.55
$0.19 (1.67%)
52W$9.03
$17.61
Target$17.29+49.7%

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IV

PAX Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Patria Investments Ltd (PAX)

Margin of Safety
-206.5%
Significantly Overvalued
PAX Fair Value
$4.62
Graham Formula
Current Price
$11.55
$6.93 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $4.62
Overvalued
Price $11.55
Graham IV $4.62
Analyst $17.29

PAX trades 206% above its Graham fair value of $4.62, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in operating margin, profit margin, institutional own.. Concerns around revenue growth and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.3/10
Operating MarginProfitability
36.10%10/10

Keeps $36 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs

Profit MarginProfitability
22.40%10/10

Keeps $22 of every $100 in revenue as net profit

Institutional Own.Quality
81.68%10/10

81.68% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Return on EquityProfitability
16.00%7/10

Solid profitability: $16 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
8.14
Attractive
PAX Target Price
$17.29
22% Upside

Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-15.40%0/10

Revenue declining -15.40%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-37.60%0/10

Earnings declining -37.60%, profits shrinking

Price/SalesValuation
4.684/10

Premium valuation at 4.7x annual revenue

Market CapQuality
$1.79B5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Price/BookValuation
2.896/10

Fairly priced relative to book value

Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Institutional Own.. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 16.00%, Operating Margin at 36.10%, Profit Margin at 22.40%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (4.68), Price/Book (2.89) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -15.40%, EPS Growth at -37.60%, which may limit upside.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 16.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -15.40% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Operating Margin, Profit Margin) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

PAX Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

PAX's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.68x sits near its historical average of 4.46x (71th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 58% below its historical high of 11.19x set in Feb 2021, and 152% above its historical low of 1.86x in Apr 2025. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~2.0x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) · FINANCIAL SERVICESASSET MANAGEMENT

The Big Picture

Patria Investments Ltd faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 382M with 15% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 22.4%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 1600.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 22.4% and operating margin of 36.1% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 15% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 5.2%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Debt management: total debt of 175M is significantly higher than cash (55M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor ASSET MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Patria Investments Ltd.

Bottom Line

Patria Investments Ltd faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Patria Investments Ltd(PAX)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

FINANCIAL SERVICES

Industry

ASSET MANAGEMENT

Country

USA

Patria Investments Limited is a private market investment firm focused on investing in Latin America. The company is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.

Visit Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Website
60 NEXUS WAY, GRAND CAYMAN, CAYMAN ISLANDS, KY1-9006