Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Packaging Corp of America stock (PKG) is currently trading at $213.36. Packaging Corp of America PE ratio is 24.91. Packaging Corp of America PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.14. Analyst consensus price target for PKG is $234.56. WallStSmart rates PKG as Underperform.
- PKG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- PKG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- PKG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- PKG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- PKG fair value vs current price
- PKG insider transactions and insider buying
- Is PKG undervalued or overvalued?
- Packaging Corp of America financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- PKG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- PKG analyst price target and Smart Rating
Packaging Corp of America
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PKG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Packaging Corp of America (PKG)
PKG trades 320% above its Graham fair value of $58.28, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, institutional own.. Concerns around eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Key Strengths (3)
99.89% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Solid profitability: $17 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Areas to Watch (7)
Earnings declining -56.50%, profits shrinking
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Premium pricing at 3.9x book value
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.14x sales
Solid revenue growth at 10.10% per year
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 54/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 4.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.20%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.63), Price/Sales (2.14), Price/Book (3.93) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 10.10%, EPS Growth at -56.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 13.60%, Profit Margin at 8.61%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.20% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 10.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Market Cap) and negatives (EPS Growth, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
PKG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
PKG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.14x trades 68% above its historical average of 1.27x (97th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 5% below its historical high of 2.26x set in Mar 2026, and 375% above its historical low of 0.45x in Feb 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Packaging Corp of America (PKG) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
The Big Picture
Packaging Corp of America operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 9.0B with 10% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 8.6%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 1720.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 128M in free cash flow and 447M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Earnings fell 56% YoY while revenue grew 10%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Packaging Corp of America push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Packaging Corp of America.
Bottom Line
Packaging Corp of America offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Packaging Corp of America(PKG)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
USA
Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.