WallStSmart

Ultragenyx (RARE) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Ultragenyx stock (RARE) is currently trading at $18.50. Ultragenyx PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.85. Analyst consensus price target for RARE is $54.25. WallStSmart rates RARE as Sell.

  • RARE PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • RARE PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • RARE intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • RARE stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • RARE fair value vs current price
  • RARE insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is RARE undervalued or overvalued?
  • Ultragenyx financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • RARE Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • RARE analyst price target and Smart Rating
RARE

Ultragenyx

NASDAQHEALTHCARE
$18.50
$1.77 (-8.73%)
52W$18.41
$42.37
Target$54.25+193.2%

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WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Ultragenyx (RARE) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

29
out of 100
Grade: F
Avoid
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in revenue growth, institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.

Ultragenyx (RARE) Key Strengths (2)

Avg Score: 9.0/10
Institutional Own.Quality
100.84%10/10

100.84% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Revenue GrowthGrowth
25.90%8/10

Strong revenue growth at 25.90% annually

Supporting Valuation Data

EV/Revenue
1.895
Undervalued
RARE Target Price
$54.25
138% Upside

Ultragenyx (RARE) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 1.9/10
PEG RatioValuation
N/A0/10

PEG ratio is negative or unavailable

Return on EquityProfitability
-608.00%0/10

Company is destroying shareholder value

Operating MarginProfitability
-54.60%0/10

Losing money on operations

Profit MarginProfitability
-85.40%0/10

Company is losing money with a negative profit margin

Price/BookValuation
247.702/10

Very expensive at 247.7x book value

Market CapQuality
$1.92B5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Price/SalesValuation
2.856/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 2.85x sales

Ultragenyx (RARE) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 29/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 1.9/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Revenue Growth. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 25.90%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (N/A), Price/Sales (2.85), Price/Book (247.70) suggest expensive pricing. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -608.00%, Operating Margin at -54.60%, Profit Margin at -85.40%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether PEG Ratio improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -608.00% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 25.90% strong but requiring continuation.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. PEG Ratio and Return on Equity are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

RARE Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

RARE's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.85x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 293.03x (0th percentile). The current valuation is 100% below its historical high of 3134.56x set in Aug 2018, and 0% above its historical low of 2.85x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~6.5x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Ultragenyx (RARE) · HEALTHCAREBIOTECHNOLOGY

The Big Picture

Ultragenyx is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 673M with 26% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -85.4% profit margin.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 26% YoY, reaching 673M. This pace significantly outperforms most BIOTECHNOLOGY peers.

Heavy R&D Investment

Spending 30% of revenue (203M) on R&D, reinforcing its commitment to innovation and future growth.

Operating at a Loss

The company is unprofitable with a -85.4% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -101M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

What to Watch Next

Growth sustainability: can Ultragenyx maintain 26%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Sector dynamics: monitor BIOTECHNOLOGY industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Ultragenyx.

Bottom Line

Ultragenyx offers an attractive blend of growth (26% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Ultragenyx(RARE)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

HEALTHCARE

Industry

BIOTECHNOLOGY

Country

USA

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in the United States. The company is headquartered in Novato, California.