Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Semtech Corporation stock (SMTC) is currently trading at $80.04. Semtech Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 6.87. Analyst consensus price target for SMTC is $104.62. WallStSmart rates SMTC as Sell.
- SMTC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- SMTC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- SMTC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- SMTC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- SMTC fair value vs current price
- SMTC insider transactions and insider buying
- Is SMTC undervalued or overvalued?
- Semtech Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- SMTC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- SMTC analyst price target and Smart Rating
Semtech Corporation
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Smart Analysis
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Key Strengths (2)
112.70% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Areas to Watch (8)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Earnings declining -32.70%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very expensive at 12.4x book value
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Premium valuation at 6.9x annual revenue
Modest revenue growth at 9.30%
Supporting Valuation Data
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 30/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 8.5/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.39), Price/Sales (6.87), Price/Book (12.39) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 9.30%, EPS Growth at -32.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -7.40%, Operating Margin at 11.20%, Profit Margin at -3.85%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -7.40% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 9.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
SMTC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
SMTC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 6.87x sits near its historical average of 7.38x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 15% below its historical high of 8.13x set in Mar 2026, and 6% above its historical low of 6.49x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~8.1x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Semtech Corporation (SMTC) · TECHNOLOGY › SEMICONDUCTORS
The Big Picture
Semtech Corporation is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 1.1B with 9% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -3.9% profit margin.
Key Findings
Generating 59M in free cash flow and 61M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
The company is unprofitable with a -3.9% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 2.04, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor SEMICONDUCTORS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Semtech Corporation.
Bottom Line
Semtech Corporation is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(60 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
WALSH, PAUL V JR Director | Sell | -500 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
LIN, MARK EVP and CFO | Sell | -3,908 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
LIN, MARK EVP and CFO | Sell | -6,582 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
WALSH, PAUL V JR Director | Sell | -500 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SILBERSTEIN, ASAF EVP and COO | Sell | -10,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SILBERSTEIN, ASAF EVP and COO | Sell | -10,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SILBERSTEIN, ASAF EVP and COO | Sell | -5,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
WALSH, PAUL V JR Director | Sell | -500 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
FISCHER, GREGORY MICHAEL Director | Sell | -1,034 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
WILSON, JOHN MICHAEL Chief Quality Officer and CTO | Sell | -5,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
GILLAI, SAAR Director | Sell | -3,600 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
LIN, MARK EVP and CFO | Sell | -1,333 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:04:23 AM
About Semtech Corporation(SMTC)
NASDAQ
TECHNOLOGY
SEMICONDUCTORS
USA
Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets mixed-signal and analog semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. The company is headquartered in Camarillo, California.