WallStSmart

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Smurfit WestRock plc stock (SW) is currently trading at $40.67. Smurfit WestRock plc PE ratio is 29.97. Smurfit WestRock plc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.67. Analyst consensus price target for SW is $56.93. WallStSmart rates SW as Underperform.

  • SW PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • SW PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • SW intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • SW stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • SW fair value vs current price
  • SW insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is SW undervalued or overvalued?
  • Smurfit WestRock plc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • SW Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • SW analyst price target and Smart Rating
SW

Smurfit WestRock

NYSECONSUMER CYCLICAL
$40.67
$0.81 (2.03%)
52W$32.44
$52.22
Target$56.93+40.0%

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IV

SW Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Smurfit WestRock plc (SW)

Margin of Safety
-456.2%
Significantly Overvalued
SW Fair Value
$9.04
Graham Formula
Current Price
$40.67
$31.63 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $9.04
Overvalued
Price $40.67
Graham IV $9.04
Analyst $56.93

SW trades 456% above its Graham fair value of $9.04, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, price/sales. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) Key Strengths (5)

Avg Score: 9.4/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.2610/10

Growing significantly faster than its price suggests

Price/SalesValuation
0.6710/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
93.21%10/10

93.21% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$20.90B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

Price/BookValuation
1.118/10

Trading at 1.11x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
0.67
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.064
Undervalued
SW Target Price
$56.93
30% Upside

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 1.4/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-33.00%0/10

Earnings declining -33.00%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
3.91%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Operating MarginProfitability
6.17%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.50%2/10

Revenue growing slowly at 0.50% annually

Profit MarginProfitability
2.24%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
29.97
Expensive
Trailing P/E
29.97
Expensive

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 54/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 1.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Sales, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.26), Price/Sales (0.67), Price/Book (1.11) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 0.50%, EPS Growth at -33.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 3.91%, Operating Margin at 6.17%, Profit Margin at 2.24%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 3.91% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 0.50% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Price/Sales) and negatives (EPS Growth, Return on Equity). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

SW Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

SW's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.67x trades 40% below its historical average of 1.12x (19th percentile). The current valuation is 72% below its historical high of 2.41x set in Sep 2024, and 10% above its historical low of 0.61x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.2x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

Compare SW with Competitors

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) · CONSUMER CYCLICALPACKAGING & CONTAINERS

The Big Picture

Smurfit WestRock plc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 31.2B with 1% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 2.2%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 612M in free cash flow and 1.2B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Low Return on Equity

ROE of 3.9% suggests the company isn't efficiently converting equity into profits.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Smurfit WestRock plc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 4.5%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Smurfit WestRock plc.

Bottom Line

Smurfit WestRock plc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

Total Buys
0
Total Sells
0

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 10:00:58 AM

About Smurfit WestRock plc(SW)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

PACKAGING & CONTAINERS

Country

USA

Smurfit Westrock Plc, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in Ireland and internationally. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.