WallStSmart

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp stock (TPVG) is currently trading at $4.64. Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp PE ratio is 3.96. Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.16. Analyst consensus price target for TPVG is $6.40. WallStSmart rates TPVG as Underperform.

  • TPVG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • TPVG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • TPVG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • TPVG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • TPVG fair value vs current price
  • TPVG insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is TPVG undervalued or overvalued?
  • Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • TPVG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • TPVG analyst price target and Smart Rating
TPVG

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp

NYSEFINANCIAL SERVICES
$4.64
$0.03 (-0.64%)
52W$4.70
$6.65
Target$6.40+37.9%

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IV

TPVG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG)

Margin of Safety
+30.8%
Strong Buy Zone
TPVG Fair Value
$8.30
Graham Formula
Current Price
$4.64
$3.66 below fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $8.30
Overvalued
Price $4.64
Graham IV $8.30
Analyst $6.40

TPVG trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $8.30, offering a 31% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, profit margin. Concerns around market cap and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 10.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
59.00%10/10

Keeps $59 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs

Price/BookValuation
0.5610/10

Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets

Profit MarginProfitability
54.50%10/10

Keeps $55 of every $100 in revenue as net profit

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
3.959
Undervalued
Forward P/E
5.17
Attractive
Trailing P/E
3.959
Undervalued

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 2.9/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-12.70%0/10

Revenue declining -12.70%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-33.30%0/10

Earnings declining -33.30%, profits shrinking

Institutional Own.Quality
11.86%2/10

Very low institutional interest at 11.86%

Market CapQuality
$196M3/10

Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility

PEG RatioValuation
2.694/10

Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion

Return on EquityProfitability
14.10%5/10

Moderate profitability with room for improvement

Price/SalesValuation
2.166/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 2.16x sales

Supporting Valuation Data

EV/Revenue
11.64
Premium

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.9/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (0.56) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 59.00%, Profit Margin at 54.50%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.69), Price/Sales (2.16) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -12.70%, EPS Growth at -33.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 14.10%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 14.10% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -12.70% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Operating Margin, Price/Book) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

TPVG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

TPVG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.16x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 18.8x (0th percentile). The current valuation is 97% below its historical high of 77.69x set in Jan 2024, and 0% above its historical low of 2.16x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~4.0x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) · FINANCIAL SERVICESASSET MANAGEMENT

The Big Picture

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 90M with 13% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 54.5%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 54.5% and operating margin of 59.0% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 16M in free cash flow and 16M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 13% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 21.6%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Debt management: total debt of 469M is significantly higher than cash (20M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor ASSET MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

Bottom Line

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp(TPVG)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

FINANCIAL SERVICES

Industry

ASSET MANAGEMENT

Country

USA

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) is a leading business development company specializing in providing customized debt financing to high-growth, venture-backed enterprises primarily in the technology and healthcare sectors. The firm prioritizes cultivating enduring partnerships with its portfolio companies to facilitate their strategic growth while simultaneously delivering compelling risk-adjusted returns for its investors. TPVG's experienced management team and extensive industry connections empower it to effectively identify and seize lucrative investment opportunities, reinforcing its status as a frontrunner in the venture debt landscape. Committed to operational diligence and innovative financing approaches, TPVG seeks to generate sustainable income and long-term capital appreciation for its stakeholders.