Trex Company Inc (TREX) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Trex Company Inc stock (TREX) is currently trading at $37.30. Trex Company Inc PE ratio is 20.75. Trex Company Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 3.25. Analyst consensus price target for TREX is $48.95. WallStSmart rates TREX as Underperform.
- TREX PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- TREX PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- TREX intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- TREX stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- TREX fair value vs current price
- TREX insider transactions and insider buying
- Is TREX undervalued or overvalued?
- Trex Company Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- TREX Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- TREX analyst price target and Smart Rating
Trex Company Inc
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TREX Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Trex Company Inc (TREX)
TREX trades 266% above its Graham fair value of $12.04, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Trex Company Inc (TREX) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, profit margin, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Trex Company Inc (TREX) Key Strengths (5)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
103.24% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Strong profitability: $16 kept per $100 revenue
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Solid profitability: $20 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Trex Company Inc (TREX) Areas to Watch (5)
Revenue declining -3.90%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -89.40%, profits shrinking
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Premium pricing at 3.6x book value
Revenue is fairly priced at 3.25x sales
Trex Company Inc (TREX) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Institutional Own., Profit Margin. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.00) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 19.80%, Profit Margin at 16.20%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (3.25), Price/Book (3.62) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -3.90%, EPS Growth at -89.40%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 2.17%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 19.80% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -3.90% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
TREX Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
TREX's Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.25x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 10.83x (6th percentile). The current valuation is 88% below its historical high of 27.69x set in Dec 2013, and 48% above its historical low of 2.19x in Nov 2007. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~3.8x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
Compare TREX with Competitors
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Data-driven financial summary for Trex Company Inc (TREX) · INDUSTRIALS › BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT
The Big Picture
Trex Company Inc faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 1.2B with 4% decline year-over-year. Profit margins of 16.2% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
Free cash flow is -146M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.60, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Trex Company Inc.
Bottom Line
Trex Company Inc faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Trex Company Inc(TREX)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT
USA
Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and distributes wood-plastic composite products and related accessories primarily for residential deck and railing applications in the United States. The company is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.