WallStSmart

Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Texas Roadhouse Inc stock (TXRH) is currently trading at $169.08. Texas Roadhouse Inc PE ratio is 27.53. Texas Roadhouse Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.89. Analyst consensus price target for TXRH is $197.88. WallStSmart rates TXRH as Underperform.

  • TXRH PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • TXRH PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • TXRH intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • TXRH stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • TXRH fair value vs current price
  • TXRH insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is TXRH undervalued or overvalued?
  • Texas Roadhouse Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • TXRH Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • TXRH analyst price target and Smart Rating
TXRH

Texas Roadhouse Inc

NASDAQCONSUMER CYCLICAL
$169.08
$1.16 (0.69%)
52W$146.39
$196.84
Target$197.88+17.0%

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IV

TXRH Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH)

Margin of Safety
-342.1%
Significantly Overvalued
TXRH Fair Value
$41.48
Graham Formula
Current Price
$169.08
$127.60 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $41.48
Overvalued
Price $169.08
Graham IV $41.48
Analyst $197.88

TXRH trades 342% above its Graham fair value of $41.48, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

49
out of 100
Grade: D+
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, price/sales. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
29.00%10/10

Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $29 in profit

Institutional Own.Quality
100.56%10/10

100.56% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$11.11B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

Price/SalesValuation
1.898/10

Paying $1.89 for every $1 of annual revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
1.89
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
2.059
Undervalued

Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 2.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-25.90%0/10

Earnings declining -25.90%, profits shrinking

Operating MarginProfitability
6.53%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Price/BookValuation
7.712/10

Very expensive at 7.7x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.10%2/10

Revenue growing slowly at 3.10% annually

PEG RatioValuation
2.324/10

Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion

Profit MarginProfitability
6.90%4/10

Thin profit margins with limited profitability

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
27.53
Expensive
Forward P/E
27.86
Premium
Trailing P/E
27.53
Expensive

Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 49/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.89) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 29.00%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.32), Price/Book (7.71) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 3.10%, EPS Growth at -25.90%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 6.53%, Profit Margin at 6.90%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 29.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 3.10% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

TXRH Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

TXRH's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.89x trades at a 29% premium to its historical average of 1.46x (84th percentile). The current valuation is 36% below its historical high of 2.95x set in Apr 2021, and 278% above its historical low of 0.5x in Nov 2008.

Compare TXRH with Competitors

Top RESTAURANTS stocks by market cap

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) · CONSUMER CYCLICALRESTAURANTS

The Big Picture

Texas Roadhouse Inc is in a high-growth phase, prioritizing rapid expansion over margins. Revenue reached 5.9B with 310% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.9%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 310% YoY, reaching 5.9B. This pace significantly outperforms most RESTAURANTS peers.

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 2900.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -78M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Texas Roadhouse Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Growth sustainability: can Texas Roadhouse Inc maintain 310%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Sector dynamics: monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Texas Roadhouse Inc.

Bottom Line

Texas Roadhouse Inc is a high-conviction growth story with revenue accelerating at 310% while profitability is still developing. For growth-oriented investors, the trajectory is compelling. For value investors, the thin 6.9% margins and premium valuation suggest patience until the unit economics mature further.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(75 last 3 months)

Total Buys
40
Total Sells
35
Mar 19, 2026(1 transaction)
TOBIN, REGINA A.
PRESIDENT
Sell
Shares
-4,450
Mar 18, 2026(1 transaction)
HUMPICH, KEITH
CHIEF ACCT & FIN SVCS OFFCR
Sell
Shares
-300
Mar 16, 2026(1 transaction)
CARROLL, HUGH J
Director
Sell
Shares
-988
Mar 13, 2026(1 transaction)
MUJICA, HERNAN E.
CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER
Sell
Shares
-5,000
Mar 5, 2026(1 transaction)
INGRAM, ELIZABETH K
Director
Buy
Shares
+1,000
Jan 20, 2026(1 transaction)
MORGAN, GERALD L.
Director, CEO, EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRMAN
Sell
Shares
-5,000
Jan 12, 2026(1 transaction)
MORGAN, GERALD L.
Director, CEO, EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRMAN
Sell
Shares
-5,000

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 8:24:24 AM

About Texas Roadhouse Inc(TXRH)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

RESTAURANTS

Country

USA

Texas Roadhouse, Inc., operates casual restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.