WallStSmart

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Waste Connections Inc stock (WCN) is currently trading at $157.06. Waste Connections Inc PE ratio is 37.84. Waste Connections Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 4.26. Analyst consensus price target for WCN is $198.92. WallStSmart rates WCN as Underperform.

  • WCN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • WCN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • WCN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • WCN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • WCN fair value vs current price
  • WCN insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is WCN undervalued or overvalued?
  • Waste Connections Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • WCN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • WCN analyst price target and Smart Rating
WCN

Waste Connections Inc

NYSEINDUSTRIALS
$157.06
$0.73 (-0.46%)
52W$154.90
$200.16
Target$198.92+26.7%

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IV

WCN Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Waste Connections Inc (WCN)

Margin of Safety
-505.4%
Significantly Overvalued
WCN Fair Value
$28.36
Graham Formula
Current Price
$157.06
$128.70 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $28.36
Overvalued
Price $157.06
Graham IV $28.36
Analyst $198.92

WCN trades 505% above its Graham fair value of $28.36, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, institutional own.. Concerns around price/book and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 9.0/10
Institutional Own.Quality
90.08%10/10

90.08% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$40.33B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

PEG RatioValuation
1.228/10

Good growth relative to its price

Supporting Valuation Data

WCN Target Price
$198.92
19% Upside

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 3.9/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.70%0/10

Earnings declining -6.70%, profits shrinking

Price/BookValuation
5.042/10

Very expensive at 5.0x book value

Price/SalesValuation
4.264/10

Premium valuation at 4.3x annual revenue

Revenue GrowthGrowth
5.00%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 5.00%

Return on EquityProfitability
13.40%5/10

Moderate profitability with room for improvement

Operating MarginProfitability
18.00%6/10

Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional

Profit MarginProfitability
11.40%6/10

Decent profitability, keeps $11 per $100 revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
37.84
Expensive
Trailing P/E
37.84
Expensive

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 3.9/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.22) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Price/Book, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (4.26), Price/Book (5.04) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 5.00%, EPS Growth at -6.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 13.40%, Operating Margin at 18.00%, Profit Margin at 11.40%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 13.40% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 5.00% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Market Cap) and negatives (EPS Growth, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

WCN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

WCN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.26x sits near its historical average of 4.83x (36th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 51% below its historical high of 8.62x set in Feb 2007, and 27% above its historical low of 3.35x in Jun 2012.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Waste Connections Inc (WCN) · INDUSTRIALSWASTE MANAGEMENT

The Big Picture

Waste Connections Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 9.5B with 5% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 11.4% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 157M in free cash flow and 557M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Waste Connections Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Sector dynamics: monitor WASTE MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Waste Connections Inc.

Bottom Line

Waste Connections Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(291 last 3 months)

Total Buys
122
Total Sells
169
Mar 4, 2026(1 transaction)
TAN, DEREK
SR VP Chief Accounting Officer
Sell
Shares
-1,173

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 11:35:49 AM

About Waste Connections Inc(WCN)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

WASTE MANAGEMENT

Country

USA

Waste Connections, Inc. provides waste collection, transfer, disposal and recycling services in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.

Visit Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Website
6220 HIGHWAY 7, WOODBRIDGE, ON, CANADA, L4H 4G3