WallStSmart

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Yum China Holdings Inc stock (YUMC) is currently trading at $51.25. Yum China Holdings Inc PE ratio is 20.65. Yum China Holdings Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.54. Analyst consensus price target for YUMC is $62.43. WallStSmart rates YUMC as Hold.

  • YUMC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • YUMC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • YUMC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • YUMC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • YUMC fair value vs current price
  • YUMC insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is YUMC undervalued or overvalued?
  • Yum China Holdings Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • YUMC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • YUMC analyst price target and Smart Rating
YUMC

Yum China Holdings Inc

NYSECONSUMER CYCLICAL
$51.25
$0.58 (-1.12%)
52W$40.12
$58.07
Target$62.43+21.8%

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IV

YUMC Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC)

Margin of Safety
+52.2%
Strong Buy Zone
YUMC Fair Value
$117.47
Graham Formula
Current Price
$51.25
$66.22 below fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $117.47
Overvalued
Price $51.25
Graham IV $117.47
Analyst $62.43

YUMC trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $117.47, offering a 52% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

64
out of 100
Grade: C+
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, price/sales. Concerns around operating margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) Key Strengths (6)

Avg Score: 8.7/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
34.30%10/10

Earnings per share surging 34.30% year-over-year

Institutional Own.Quality
78.15%10/10

78.15% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$18.23B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

PEG RatioValuation
1.348/10

Good growth relative to its price

Price/SalesValuation
1.548/10

Paying $1.54 for every $1 of annual revenue

Return on EquityProfitability
16.00%7/10

Solid profitability: $16 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
1.545
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.626
Undervalued
YUMC Target Price
$62.43
19% Upside

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) Areas to Watch (4)

Avg Score: 3.5/10
Operating MarginProfitability
7.16%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Price/BookValuation
3.394/10

Premium pricing at 3.4x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
8.80%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 8.80%

Profit MarginProfitability
7.88%4/10

Thin profit margins with limited profitability

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 64/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 3.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on EPS Growth, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.34), Price/Sales (1.54) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 16.00%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 34.30%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (3.39) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 8.80%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 7.16%, Profit Margin at 7.88%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 16.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 8.80% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (EPS Growth, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Operating Margin, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

YUMC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

YUMC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.54x sits near its historical average of 1.58x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 6% below its historical high of 1.64x set in Mar 2026, and 0% above its historical low of 1.54x in Mar 2026.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) · CONSUMER CYCLICALRESTAURANTS

The Big Picture

Yum China Holdings Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 11.8B with 9% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 7.9%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -113M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Yum China Holdings Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Debt management: total debt of 3.7B is significantly higher than cash (506M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Yum China Holdings Inc.

Bottom Line

Yum China Holdings Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(146 last 3 months)

Total Buys
60
Total Sells
86
Feb 13, 2026(1 transaction)
WAT, JOEY
Director, Chief Executive Officer
Sell
Shares
-104,000
Feb 11, 2026(1 transaction)
WAT, JOEY
Director, Chief Executive Officer
Sell
Shares
-4,613

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 10:11:37 AM

About Yum China Holdings Inc(YUMC)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

RESTAURANTS

Country

USA

Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates and franchises restaurants in China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Visit Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) Website
YUM CHINA BUILDING, SHANGHAI, CHINA, 200030