WallStSmart

Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL)vsConocoPhillips (COP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ConocoPhillips generates 202% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $19.93B). ACGL leads profitability with a 22.1% profit margin vs 13.3%. ACGL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. ACGL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 81/100 (A-).

ACGL

Exceptional Buy

81

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 8.7Profit: 8.0Value: 10.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9

COP

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ACGLUndervalued (+81.8%)

Margin of Safety

+81.8%

Fair Value

$542.88

Current Price

$93.32

$449.56 discount

UndervaluedFair: $542.88Overvalued
COPSignificantly Overvalued (-157.1%)

Margin of Safety

-157.1%

Fair Value

$43.25

Current Price

$128.93

$85.68 premium

UndervaluedFair: $43.25Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ACGL6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
22.1%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.119/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Operating MarginProfitability
29.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 29.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
38.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 38.8% YoY

COP3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$157.60B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.29B8/10

Generating 1.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ACGL0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

COP3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
4.222/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.8%2/10

Revenue declined 6.8%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-39.0%2/10

Earnings declined 39.0%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ACGL

The strongest argument for ACGL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.1% and operating margin at 29.5%. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : COP

The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : ACGL

No major red flags identified for ACGL, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : COP

The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ACGL profiles as a mature stock while COP is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

ACGL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.36 — expect wider price swings.

ACGL is growing revenue faster at 8.5% — sustainability is the question.

ACGL generates stronger free cash flow (1.4B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ACGL scores higher overall (81/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 22.1% margins. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arch Capital Group Ltd

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - DIVERSIFIED · USA

Arch Capital Group Ltd., offers insurance, reinsurance and mortgage products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

ConocoPhillips

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.

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