ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
ConocoPhillips stock (COP) is currently trading at $128.93. ConocoPhillips PE ratio is 20.27. ConocoPhillips PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.61. Analyst consensus price target for COP is $125.61. WallStSmart rates COP as Underperform.
ConocoPhillips (COP) stock price prediction for 2030: Base case $144.62. Bull case $180.77. Bear case $108.46. See full COP 2030 price forecast and methodology on WallStSmart.
- COP PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- COP PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- COP intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- COP stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- COP fair value vs current price
- COP insider transactions and insider buying
- Is COP undervalued or overvalued?
- ConocoPhillips financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- COP Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- COP analyst price target and Smart Rating
ConocoPhillips
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COP Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · ConocoPhillips (COP)
COP trades 157% above its Graham fair value of $43.25, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
ConocoPhillips (COP) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and revenue growth. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
ConocoPhillips (COP) Key Strengths (2)
84.89% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Supporting Valuation Data
ConocoPhillips (COP) Areas to Watch (8)
Revenue declining -6.80%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -39.00%, profits shrinking
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.61x sales
Fairly priced relative to book value
Decent profitability, keeps $13 per $100 revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
ConocoPhillips (COP) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 48/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 3.9/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (4.22), Price/Sales (2.61), Price/Book (2.41) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -6.80%, EPS Growth at -39.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 12.40%, Operating Margin at 16.30%, Profit Margin at 13.30%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 12.40% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -6.80% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Revenue Growth and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
COP Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
COP's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.61x trades 114% above its historical average of 1.22x (95th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 11% below its historical high of 2.95x set in Sep 2018, and 1276% above its historical low of 0.19x in Feb 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for ConocoPhillips (COP) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS E&P
The Big Picture
ConocoPhillips faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 60.3B with 7% decline year-over-year. Profit margins of 13.3% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
ROE of 1240.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow and 4.3B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 7% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can ConocoPhillips push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact ConocoPhillips.
Bottom Line
ConocoPhillips faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(64 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
NIBLOCK, ROBERT A Director | Buy | +298 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
ROSE, KELLY BRUNETTI SVP & General Counsel | Sell | -8,500 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
LEACH, TIMOTHY A Director | Sell | -40,000 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:23:15 AM
About ConocoPhillips(COP)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS E&P
USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.