WallStSmart

Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)vsDelta Air Lines Inc (DAL)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Delta Air Lines Inc generates 369% more annual revenue ($71.80B vs $15.30B). DAL leads profitability with a 4.6% profit margin vs -2.6%. ALK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.20. DAL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).

ALK

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 3.0Value: 7.0Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.08

DAL

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.5Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.20
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALKUndervalued (+55.3%)

Margin of Safety

+55.3%

Fair Value

$128.74

Current Price

$36.78

$91.96 discount

UndervaluedFair: $128.74Overvalued
DALSignificantly Overvalued (-39.5%)

Margin of Safety

-39.5%

Fair Value

$58.52

Current Price

$83.30

$24.77 premium

UndervaluedFair: $58.52Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALK1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

DAL4 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$52.86B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
16.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
21.1%8/10

Revenue surging 21.1% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

ALK4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
2.0%3/10

ROE of 2.0% — below average capital efficiency

Operating MarginProfitability
2.5%3/10

Operating margin of 2.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-68.3%2/10

Earnings declined 68.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-293.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

DAL4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.6%3/10

4.6% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
39.292/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-47.0%2/10

Earnings declined 47.0%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.202/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALK

The strongest argument for ALK centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 14.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : DAL

The strongest argument for DAL centers on Market Cap, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 21.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ALK

The primary concerns for ALK are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Debt-to-equity of 2.07 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : DAL

The primary concerns for DAL are Profit Margin, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth. Thin 4.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALK profiles as a turnaround stock while DAL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

DAL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.34 — expect wider price swings.

DAL is growing revenue faster at 21.1% — sustainability is the question.

DAL generates stronger free cash flow (300M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

DAL scores higher overall (55/100 vs 50/100) and 21.1% revenue growth. ALK offers better value entry with a 55.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alaska Air Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.

Delta Air Lines Inc

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

Delta Air Lines, Inc., typically referred to as Delta, is one of the major airlines of the United States and a legacy carrier. It is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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