Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Alaska Air Group Inc stock (ALK) is currently trading at $38.48. Alaska Air Group Inc PE ratio is 46.36. Alaska Air Group Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.31. Analyst consensus price target for ALK is $64.81. WallStSmart rates ALK as Underperform.
- ALK PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ALK PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ALK intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ALK stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ALK fair value vs current price
- ALK insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ALK undervalued or overvalued?
- Alaska Air Group Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ALK Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ALK analyst price target and Smart Rating
Alaska Air Group Inc
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ALK Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)
ALK trades 920% above its Graham fair value of $5.64, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Key Strengths (5)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
92.00% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Good growth relative to its price
Trading at 1.03x book value, attractively priced
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Areas to Watch (5)
Earnings declining -68.30%, profits shrinking
Very low returns on shareholder equity
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Revenue growing slowly at 2.80% annually
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Supporting Valuation Data
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 49/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.6/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 1.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own., PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.20), Price/Sales (0.31), Price/Book (1.03) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 2.80%, EPS Growth at -68.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 2.36%, Operating Margin at 3.19%, Profit Margin at 0.70%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 2.36% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 2.80% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and Return on Equity are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ALK Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
ALK's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.31x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 1.27x (1th percentile). The current valuation is 86% below its historical high of 2.25x set in Dec 2011, and 3% above its historical low of 0.3x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.4x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) · INDUSTRIALS › AIRLINES
The Big Picture
Alaska Air Group Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 14.2B with 280% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 70.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 280% YoY, reaching 14.2B. This pace significantly outperforms most AIRLINES peers.
ROE of 236.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Free cash flow is -440M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
Earnings fell 68% YoY while revenue grew 280%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Growth sustainability: can Alaska Air Group Inc maintain 280%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Sector dynamics: monitor AIRLINES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Alaska Air Group Inc.
Bottom Line
Alaska Air Group Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (280% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Alaska Air Group Inc(ALK)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
AIRLINES
USA
Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.