WallStSmart

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP)vsPeabody Energy Corp (BTU)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Peabody Energy Corp generates 81% more annual revenue ($3.96B vs $2.19B). ARLP leads profitability with a 14.2% profit margin vs -0.8%. ARLP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

ARLP

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 2.7Profit: 7.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0

BTU

Avoid

33

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.5Value: 5.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ARLPUndervalued (+77.3%)

Margin of Safety

+77.3%

Fair Value

$112.32

Current Price

$28.60

$83.72 discount

UndervaluedFair: $112.32Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for BTU.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ARLP3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
12.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

PEG RatioValuation
0.628/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

BTU1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

ARLP2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
3.9%4/10

3.9% earnings growth

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.2%2/10

Revenue declined 9.2%

BTU4 concerns · Avg: 1.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-0.4%2/10

ROE of -0.4% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-7.0%2/10

Revenue declined 7.0%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-8.3%2/10

Earnings declined 8.3%

Profit MarginProfitability
-0.8%1/10

Currently unprofitable

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ARLP

The strongest argument for ARLP centers on P/E Ratio, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : BTU

The strongest argument for BTU centers on Price/Book.

Bear Case : ARLP

The primary concerns for ARLP are EPS Growth, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : BTU

The primary concerns for BTU are Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ARLP profiles as a declining stock while BTU is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

BTU carries more volatility with a beta of 0.56 — expect wider price swings.

BTU is growing revenue faster at -7.0% — sustainability is the question.

BTU generates stronger free cash flow (125M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ARLP scores higher overall (67/100 vs 33/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alliance Resource Partners LP

ENERGY · THERMAL COAL · USA

Alliance Resource Partners, LP, a diversified natural resources company, produces and markets coal primarily for industrial and utility users in the United States. The company is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Peabody Energy Corp

ENERGY · THERMAL COAL · USA

Peabody Energy Corporation is engaged in the coal mining business in the United States, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, China, India, Vietnam, South Korea, and internationally. The company is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

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