WallStSmart

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Alliance Resource Partners LP stock (ARLP) is currently trading at $28.60. Alliance Resource Partners LP PE ratio is 11.96. Alliance Resource Partners LP PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.68. Analyst consensus price target for ARLP is $30.33. WallStSmart rates ARLP as Moderate Buy.

  • ARLP PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • ARLP PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • ARLP intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • ARLP stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • ARLP fair value vs current price
  • ARLP insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is ARLP undervalued or overvalued?
  • Alliance Resource Partners LP financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • ARLP Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • ARLP analyst price target and Smart Rating
ARLP

Alliance Resource Partners LP

NASDAQENERGY
$28.60
$0.10 (-0.35%)
52W$20.21
$28.95
Target$30.33+6.0%

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IV

ARLP Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP)

Margin of Safety
+77.3%
Strong Buy Zone
ARLP Fair Value
$112.32
Graham Formula
Current Price
$28.60
$83.72 below fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $112.32
Overvalued
Price $28.60
Graham IV $112.32
Analyst $30.33

ARLP trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $112.32, offering a 77% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Strong Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around revenue growth. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) Key Strengths (6)

Avg Score: 8.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.6210/10

Growing significantly faster than its price suggests

EPS GrowthGrowth
389.70%10/10

Earnings per share surging 389.70% year-over-year

Price/SalesValuation
1.688/10

Paying $1.68 for every $1 of annual revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.958/10

Trading at 1.95x book value, attractively priced

Market CapQuality
$3.69B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Return on EquityProfitability
17.10%7/10

Solid profitability: $17 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
11.96
Undervalued
Forward P/E
11.79
Attractive
Trailing P/E
11.96
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.682
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.818
Undervalued
ARLP Target Price
$30.33
18% Upside

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) Areas to Watch (4)

Avg Score: 4.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.20%0/10

Revenue declining -9.20%, a shrinking business

Institutional Own.Quality
17.86%4/10

Low institutional interest, mostly retail-driven

Operating MarginProfitability
17.90%6/10

Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional

Profit MarginProfitability
14.20%6/10

Decent profitability, keeps $14 per $100 revenue

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 67/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.3/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 4.0/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Sales. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.62), Price/Sales (1.68), Price/Book (1.95) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.10%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 389.70%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, Institutional Own., Operating Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -9.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 17.90%, Profit Margin at 14.20%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.10% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -9.20% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, EPS Growth) and negatives (Revenue Growth, Institutional Own.). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

ARLP Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

ARLP's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.68x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 3.59x (31th percentile). The current valuation is 76% below its historical high of 6.9x set in Jun 2008, and 190% above its historical low of 0.58x in Feb 2016.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) · ENERGYTHERMAL COAL

The Big Picture

Alliance Resource Partners LP faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 2.2B with 9% decline year-over-year. Profit margins of 14.2% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 99M in free cash flow and 144M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 9% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Alliance Resource Partners LP push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 8.9%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor THERMAL COAL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Alliance Resource Partners LP.

Bottom Line

Alliance Resource Partners LP faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Alliance Resource Partners LP(ARLP)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

ENERGY

Industry

THERMAL COAL

Country

USA

Alliance Resource Partners, LP, a diversified natural resources company, produces and markets coal primarily for industrial and utility users in the United States. The company is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.