WallStSmart

Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)vsTernium SA ADR (TX)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ternium SA ADR generates 648% more annual revenue ($15.61B vs $2.09B). TX leads profitability with a 2.7% profit margin vs -47.2%. TX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 47/100 (D+).

ASTL

Avoid

34

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 5.0

TX

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 4.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.8
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.34
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ASTL.

TXSignificantly Overvalued (-202.5%)

Margin of Safety

-202.5%

Fair Value

$14.96

Current Price

$39.57

$24.61 premium

UndervaluedFair: $14.96Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ASTL1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

TX4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.1310/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
17.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

ASTL4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$376.91M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-98.5%2/10

ROE of -98.5% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-22.9%2/10

Revenue declined 22.9%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-93.0%2/10

Earnings declined 93.0%

TX4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
1.9%3/10

ROE of 1.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
2.7%3/10

2.7% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.7%3/10

Operating margin of 4.7%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ASTL

The strongest argument for ASTL centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : TX

The strongest argument for TX centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. PEG of 0.13 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ASTL

The primary concerns for ASTL are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : TX

The primary concerns for TX are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 2.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ASTL profiles as a turnaround stock while TX is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ASTL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.54 — expect wider price swings.

TX is growing revenue faster at -2.6% — sustainability is the question.

TX generates stronger free cash flow (65M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

TX scores higher overall (47/100 vs 34/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Algoma Steel Group Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · STEEL · USA

Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada and the United States.

Ternium SA ADR

BASIC MATERIALS · STEEL · USA

Ternium SA manufactures and processes various steel products in Mexico, Argentina, Paraguay, Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, Brazil, the United States, Colombia, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua. The company is headquartered in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg.

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