WallStSmart

BHP Group Limited (BHP)vsTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

BHP Group Limited generates 13789% more annual revenue ($53.99B vs $388.70M). TFPM leads profitability with a 61.8% profit margin vs 19.0%. BHP trades at a lower P/E of 17.3x. TFPM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).

BHP

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.5Value: 6.7Quality: 5.0

TFPM

Strong Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 10.0Profit: 8.0Value: 7.0Quality: 9.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 18.71
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BHPUndervalued (+57.7%)

Margin of Safety

+57.7%

Fair Value

$188.14

Current Price

$68.99

$119.15 discount

UndervaluedFair: $188.14Overvalued
TFPMUndervalued (+32.4%)

Margin of Safety

+32.4%

Fair Value

$55.22

Current Price

$32.78

$22.44 discount

UndervaluedFair: $55.22Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BHP6 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Operating MarginProfitability
40.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%

Market CapQuality
$177.19B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
24.7%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
27.5%8/10

Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.31B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

TFPM6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
61.8%10/10

Keeps 62 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
54.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 54.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
60.2%10/10

Revenue surging 60.2% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
81.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 81.4% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0010/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
18.7110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Areas to Watch

BHP1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
5.952/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

TFPM1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
27.8x4/10

Moderate valuation

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BHP

The strongest argument for BHP centers on Operating Margin, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : TFPM

The strongest argument for TFPM centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 61.8% and operating margin at 54.7%. Revenue growth of 60.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : BHP

The primary concerns for BHP are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : TFPM

The primary concerns for TFPM are P/E Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BHP profiles as a mature stock while TFPM is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BHP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.74 — expect wider price swings.

TFPM is growing revenue faster at 60.2% — sustainability is the question.

BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

TFPM scores higher overall (65/100 vs 64/100), backed by strong 61.8% margins and 60.2% revenue growth. BHP offers better value entry with a 57.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

BHP Group Limited

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER PRECIOUS METALS & MINING · USA

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) is a leading precious metals streaming and royalty company that provides innovative capital solutions to the mining industry in exchange for a percentage of future production. With a well-diversified portfolio across multiple established mining jurisdictions, TFPM effectively mitigates risk while capitalizing on the growing demand for gold and silver. The firm employs a unique financial model that not only supports mining operations but also enhances its alignment with favorable price trends in the precious metals market. Led by a seasoned management team and supported by a strong balance sheet, Triple Flag is poised to capitalize on sustainable mining opportunities, making it an attractive investment for institutional players seeking stability and growth in their commodity investments.

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