WallStSmart

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)vsTillys Inc (TLYS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Burlington Stores Inc generates 2039% more annual revenue ($12.21B vs $570.69M). BURL leads profitability with a 5.8% profit margin vs -0.6%. TLYS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.88. BURL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

BURL

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 3.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.95

TLYS

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.49
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BURLSignificantly Overvalued (-23.7%)

Margin of Safety

-23.7%

Fair Value

$247.19

Current Price

$239.04

$8.15 premium

UndervaluedFair: $247.19Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for TLYS.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BURL2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 36 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
95.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 95.9% YoY

TLYS3 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.888/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.9%8/10

15.9% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

BURL4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.954/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
5.8%3/10

5.8% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
2.992/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-16.50M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

TLYS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$134.58M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Debt/EquityHealth
1.953/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
73.3x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
-18.8%2/10

ROE of -18.8% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BURL

The strongest argument for BURL centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 11.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : TLYS

The strongest argument for TLYS centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 15.9% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.88 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : BURL

The primary concerns for BURL are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 2.95 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : TLYS

The primary concerns for TLYS are Market Cap, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 73.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.95 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BURL profiles as a value stock while TLYS is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BURL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.42 — expect wider price swings.

TLYS is growing revenue faster at 15.9% — sustainability is the question.

TLYS generates stronger free cash flow (-5M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

BURL scores higher overall (63/100 vs 48/100) and 11.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Burlington Stores Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL · USA

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a branded apparel retailer in the United States. The company is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

Tillys Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL · USA

Tilly's, Inc. is a specialty retailer of casual clothing, footwear, accessories and consumer goods for young men and women and boys and girls in the United States. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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