WallStSmart

Carrier Global Corp (CARR)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Carrier Global Corp generates 23% more annual revenue ($21.87B vs $17.74B). CARR leads profitability with a 6.0% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

CARR

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.0Profit: 4.5Value: 4.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.62

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CARROvervalued (-12.5%)

Margin of Safety

-12.5%

Fair Value

$59.64

Current Price

$67.90

$8.26 premium

UndervaluedFair: $59.64Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$158.29

$57.23 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CARR1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$56.16B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.57B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

CARR4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.624/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.4%4/10

2.4% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.624/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
6.0%3/10

6.0% margin — thin

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
71.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CARR

The strongest argument for CARR centers on Market Cap.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CARR

The primary concerns for CARR are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 45.1x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 71.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

CARR generates stronger free cash flow (-15M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 43/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Carrier Global Corp

INDUSTRIALS · BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT · USA

Carrier Global Corporation is an American multinational home appliances corporation based in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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