Vistra Energy Corp (VST) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Vistra Energy Corp stock (VST) is currently trading at $151.51. Vistra Energy Corp PE ratio is 70.06. Vistra Energy Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.92. Analyst consensus price target for VST is $234.26. WallStSmart rates VST as Underperform.
- VST PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- VST PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- VST intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- VST stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- VST fair value vs current price
- VST insider transactions and insider buying
- Is VST undervalued or overvalued?
- Vistra Energy Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- VST Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- VST analyst price target and Smart Rating
Vistra Energy Corp
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VST Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Vistra Energy Corp (VST)
VST trades 981% above its Graham fair value of $14.82, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Vistra Energy Corp (VST) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, institutional own.. Concerns around price/book and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Vistra Energy Corp (VST) Key Strengths (4)
92.59% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Good growth relative to its price
Solid profitability: $18 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Vistra Energy Corp (VST) Areas to Watch (6)
Earnings declining -52.30%, profits shrinking
Very expensive at 18.8x book value
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.92x sales
Solid revenue growth at 13.60% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
Vistra Energy Corp (VST) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.5/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.7/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.27) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.70%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (2.92), Price/Book (18.77) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 13.60%, EPS Growth at -52.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 13.20%, Profit Margin at 5.32%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.70% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 13.60% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Market Cap) and negatives (EPS Growth, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
VST Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
VST's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.92x trades 101% above its historical average of 1.45x (87th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 20% below its historical high of 3.63x set in Nov 2024, and 495% above its historical low of 0.49x in Feb 2023. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~2.1x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Vistra Energy Corp (VST) · UTILITIES › UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS
The Big Picture
Vistra Energy Corp operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 17.7B with 14% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 5.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Free cash flow is -82M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
Earnings fell 52% YoY while revenue grew 14%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Vistra Energy Corp push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 70.1x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.
Debt management: total debt of 17.5B is significantly higher than cash (602M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Vistra Energy Corp.
Bottom Line
Vistra Energy Corp offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(31 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
MOORE, STEPHANIE ZAPATA EVP and General Counsel | Sell | -10,000 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:07:00 AM
About Vistra Energy Corp(VST)
NYSE
UTILITIES
UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER ...
USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.