Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY)vsUlta Beauty Inc (ULTA)
CASY
Caseys General Stores Inc
$659.63
-0.83%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $24.96B
ULTA
Ulta Beauty Inc
$529.97
-0.77%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $23.17B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Caseys General Stores Inc generates 37% more annual revenue ($16.98B vs $12.39B). ULTA leads profitability with a 9.3% profit margin vs 3.8%. CASY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.05. ULTA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C-).
CASY
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
ULTA
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+20.5%
Fair Value
$816.19
Current Price
$659.63
$156.56 discount
Margin of Safety
-291.9%
Fair Value
$174.28
Current Price
$529.97
$355.69 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 30.0% year-over-year
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Earnings expanding 49.8% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 44 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
3.8% margin — thin
Operating margin of 5.0%
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 8.4x book value
Earnings declined 5.4%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CASY
The strongest argument for CASY centers on Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 30.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : ULTA
The strongest argument for ULTA centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 11.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CASY
The primary concerns for CASY are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Profit Margin. Thin 3.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ULTA
The primary concerns for ULTA are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CASY profiles as a growth stock while ULTA is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
ULTA carries more volatility with a beta of 0.85 — expect wider price swings.
CASY is growing revenue faster at 30.0% — sustainability is the question.
ULTA generates stronger free cash flow (907M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ULTA scores higher overall (55/100 vs 53/100) and 11.8% revenue growth. CASY offers better value entry with a 20.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Caseys General Stores Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA
Casey's General Stores, Inc., operates convenience stores under the names Casey's and Casey's General Store. The company is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa.
Ulta Beauty Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA
Ulta Beauty, Inc., formerly known as Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc., is an American chain of beauty stores headquartered in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty carries cosmetics and skincare brands, men's and women's fragrances, nail products, bath and body products, beauty tools and haircare products.
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