WallStSmart

CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsNatera Inc (NTRA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Natera Inc generates 506% more annual revenue ($2.50B vs $412.82M). CDNA leads profitability with a -2.0% profit margin vs -9.1%. CDNA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 37/100 (F).

CDNA

Hold

37

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 6.7Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.40

NTRA

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.82
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CDNAUndervalued (+57.7%)

Margin of Safety

+57.7%

Fair Value

$46.59

Current Price

$28.82

$17.77 discount

UndervaluedFair: $46.59Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for NTRA.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CDNA2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
39.0%10/10

Revenue surging 39.0% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0810/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

NTRA2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.8%10/10

Revenue surging 38.8% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.149/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

CDNA4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.20B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
1.5%3/10

Operating margin of 1.5%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

NTRA4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Price/BookValuation
21.1x2/10

Trading at 21.1x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
-12.8%2/10

ROE of -12.8% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CDNA

The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 39.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NTRA

The strongest argument for NTRA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 38.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CDNA

The primary concerns for CDNA are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Operating Margin.

Bear Case : NTRA

The primary concerns for NTRA are EPS Growth, Piotroski F-Score, Price/Book.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.48 — expect wider price swings.

CDNA is growing revenue faster at 39.0% — sustainability is the question.

NTRA generates stronger free cash flow (18M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

CDNA scores higher overall (37/100 vs 31/100) and 39.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CareDx Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Natera Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

Natera, Inc., a diagnostic company, develops and markets molecular testing services globally. The company is headquartered in San Carlos, California.

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