CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)
CDNA
CareDx Inc
$20.81
+0.05%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $1.09B
NVS
Novartis AG ADR
$147.85
+3.44%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $282.11B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Novartis AG ADR generates 14797% more annual revenue ($56.58B vs $379.81M). NVS leads profitability with a 23.9% profit margin vs -5.6%. NVS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 51/100 (C-).
CDNA
Avoid34
out of 100
Grade: F
NVS
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+63.4%
Fair Value
$53.80
Current Price
$20.81
$32.99 discount
Margin of Safety
-52.5%
Fair Value
$109.60
Current Price
$147.85
$38.25 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 25.2% year-over-year
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 30.5%
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 2.9B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -6.3% — below average capital efficiency
Currently unprofitable
Expensive relative to growth rate
Grey zone — moderate risk
Revenue declined 0.7%
Earnings declined 9.3%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CDNA
The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 25.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NVS
The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.9% and operating margin at 30.5%.
Bear Case : CDNA
The primary concerns for CDNA are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : NVS
The primary concerns for NVS are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CDNA profiles as a growth stock while NVS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.54 — expect wider price swings.
CDNA is growing revenue faster at 25.2% — sustainability is the question.
NVS generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NVS scores higher overall (51/100 vs 34/100), backed by strong 23.9% margins. CDNA offers better value entry with a 63.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CareDx Inc
HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA
CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Novartis AG ADR
HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA
Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.
Visit Website →Compare with Other DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?