Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$39.40
+0.77%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.90B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$51.08
+2.08%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $8.91B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Century Aluminum Company generates 541% more annual revenue ($2.67B vs $416.25M). CENX leads profitability with a 22.6% profit margin vs -14.6%. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 84/100 (A-).
CENX
Exceptional Buy84
out of 100
Grade: A-
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-74.1%
Fair Value
$30.69
Current Price
$39.40
$8.71 premium
Margin of Safety
-13.3%
Fair Value
$44.14
Current Price
$51.08
$6.94 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Earnings expanding 1010.0% YoY
Keeps 23 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.6% and operating margin at 28.1%. Revenue growth of 19.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.99 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.
CENX generates stronger free cash flow (108M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CENX scores higher overall (84/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 22.6% margins and 19.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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