Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$60.12
-9.50%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $6.06B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$58.92
-4.07%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Century Aluminum Company generates 632% more annual revenue ($2.54B vs $347.57M). CENX leads profitability with a 13.7% profit margin vs -20.5%. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
CENX
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-84.5%
Fair Value
$28.96
Current Price
$60.12
$31.16 premium
Margin of Safety
-64.3%
Fair Value
$37.06
Current Price
$58.92
$21.86 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Earnings expanding 1010.0% YoY
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
2.4% revenue growth
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX profiles as a value stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
CENX generates stronger free cash flow (-6M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CENX scores higher overall (65/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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