Alcoa Corp (AA)vsCentury Aluminum Company (CENX)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$55.08
-5.60%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $18.15B
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$60.12
-9.50%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $6.06B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Alcoa Corp generates 398% more annual revenue ($12.65B vs $2.54B). CENX leads profitability with a 13.7% profit margin vs 8.2%. CENX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.06. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
AA
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
CENX
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for AA.
Margin of Safety
-84.5%
Fair Value
$28.96
Current Price
$60.12
$31.16 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Growing faster than its price suggests
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Earnings expanding 1010.0% YoY
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 5.2%
Earnings declined 22.7%
2.4% revenue growth
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
CENX is growing revenue faster at 2.4% — sustainability is the question.
CENX generates stronger free cash flow (-6M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CENX scores higher overall (65/100 vs 49/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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