Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$58.91
-2.76%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $6.00B
VALE
Vale SA ADR
$16.63
+2.72%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $69.04B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vale SA ADR generates 8400% more annual revenue ($214.86B vs $2.53B). VALE leads profitability with a 7.3% profit margin vs 1.6%. CENX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.06. VALE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
CENX
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
VALE
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-39.5%
Fair Value
$38.30
Current Price
$58.91
$20.61 premium
Margin of Safety
+81.8%
Fair Value
$95.70
Current Price
$16.63
$79.07 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Growing faster than its price suggests
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 28.1%
Earnings expanding 22.0% YoY
Areas to Watch
0.4% revenue growth
ROE of 1.6% — below average capital efficiency
1.6% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
2.7% revenue growth
ROE of 6.8% — below average capital efficiency
7.3% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : VALE
The strongest argument for VALE centers on PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 0.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 144.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : VALE
The primary concerns for VALE are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
VALE is growing revenue faster at 2.7% — sustainability is the question.
VALE generates stronger free cash flow (700M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
VALE scores higher overall (67/100 vs 38/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Vale SA ADR
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
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