WallStSmart

Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vale SA ADR generates 8350% more annual revenue ($213.59B vs $2.53B). VALE leads profitability with a 6.5% profit margin vs 1.6%. CENX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.06. VALE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).

CENX

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0

VALE

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CENXSignificantly Overvalued (-1768.5%)

Margin of Safety

-1768.5%

Fair Value

$2.86

Current Price

$50.19

$47.33 premium

UndervaluedFair: $2.86Overvalued
VALESignificantly Overvalued (-47.9%)

Margin of Safety

-47.9%

Fair Value

$11.75

Current Price

$15.14

$3.39 premium

UndervaluedFair: $11.75Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CENX2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0610/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Revenue GrowthGrowth
40.0%10/10

Revenue surging 40.0% year-over-year

VALE3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$64.24B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
27.6%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.6%

Areas to Watch

CENX4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
1.6%3/10

ROE of 1.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
1.6%3/10

1.6% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
119.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-95.1%2/10

Earnings declined 95.1%

VALE4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
27.0x4/10

Moderate valuation

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.5%4/10

0.5% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
5.9%3/10

ROE of 5.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
6.5%3/10

6.5% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CENX

The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 40.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : VALE

The strongest argument for VALE centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bear Case : CENX

The primary concerns for CENX are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 119.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : VALE

The primary concerns for VALE are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CENX profiles as a hypergrowth stock while VALE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 2.12 — expect wider price swings.

CENX is growing revenue faster at 40.0% — sustainability is the question.

VALE generates stronger free cash flow (723M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VALE scores higher overall (55/100 vs 41/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Century Aluminum Company

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Vale SA ADR

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

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