Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc
$22.63
+0.13%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $4.63B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$50.51
-1.58%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.86B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Centerra Gold Inc generates 314% more annual revenue ($1.72B vs $416.25M). CGAU leads profitability with a 36.9% profit margin vs -14.6%. CGAU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
CGAU
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for CGAU.
Margin of Safety
-22.9%
Fair Value
$44.19
Current Price
$50.51
$6.32 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Keeps 37 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Revenue surging 53.5% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CGAU
The strongest argument for CGAU centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 36.9% and operating margin at 27.2%. Revenue growth of 53.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CGAU
The primary concerns for CGAU are Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CGAU profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.
CGAU generates stronger free cash flow (-23M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CGAU scores higher overall (70/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 36.9% margins and 53.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Centerra Gold Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA
Centerra Gold Inc., a gold mining company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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