WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsAltria Group (MO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Altria Group generates 69% more annual revenue ($20.14B vs $11.93B). MO leads profitability with a 34.5% profit margin vs 12.9%. MO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.65. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

MO

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.86
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$32.50

$17.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued
MOSignificantly Overvalued (-135.3%)

Margin of Safety

-135.3%

Fair Value

$28.02

Current Price

$63.78

$35.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.02Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

MO6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Profit MarginProfitability
34.5%10/10

Keeps 35 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
57.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 57.1%

Debt/EquityHealth
-7.3410/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Market CapQuality
$107.97B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
15.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.18B8/10

Generating 3.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

MO4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.654/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
0.0%3/10

ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.5%2/10

Revenue declined 0.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-62.9%2/10

Earnings declined 62.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : MO

The strongest argument for MO centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 34.5% and operating margin at 57.1%.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : MO

The primary concerns for MO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG profiles as a value stock while MO is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.

MO generates stronger free cash flow (3.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 47/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Altria Group

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · TOBACCO · USA

Altria Group, Inc. (previously known as Philip Morris Companies, Inc.) is an American corporation and one of the world's largest producers and marketers of tobacco, cigarettes and related products. It operates worldwide and is headquartered in unincorporated Henrico County, Virginia, just outside the city of Richmond.

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