WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsRed Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 885% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $1.21B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs -1.9%. RRGB appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.36. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

RRGB

Avoid

33

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.7Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$32.50

$17.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for RRGB.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

RRGB0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

RRGB4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$56.39M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.4%2/10

ROE of -2.4% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.7%2/10

Revenue declined 5.7%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : RRGB

PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : RRGB

The primary concerns for RRGB are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG profiles as a value stock while RRGB is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

RRGB carries more volatility with a beta of 2.16 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.

CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 33/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. develops, operates and franchises full-service restaurants and casual dining. The company is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

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