WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 103% more annual revenue ($24.70B vs $12.14B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.2% profit margin vs 12.0%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.76. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

CMG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 9.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CMG.

UNPSignificantly Overvalued (-76.6%)

Margin of Safety

-76.6%

Fair Value

$150.01

Current Price

$264.65

$114.64 premium

UndervaluedFair: $150.01Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
49.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 49 in profit

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%

Market CapQuality
$157.27B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.2%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.50B8/10

Generating 1.5B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.764/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
30.5x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
17.4x4/10

Trading at 17.4x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.9%2/10

Earnings declined 17.9%

UNP3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
8.5x4/10

Trading at 8.5x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.2%4/10

3.2% revenue growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.302/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 40.4%.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 7.4% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.5B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 29.2% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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