WallStSmart

Costco Wholesale Corp (COST)vsThe Travelers Companies Inc (TRV)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Costco Wholesale Corp generates 486% more annual revenue ($286.27B vs $48.83B). TRV leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 3.0%. TRV appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.36. TRV earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).

COST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 2.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.84

TRV

Strong Buy

71

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.65
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

COSTSignificantly Overvalued (-74.7%)

Margin of Safety

-74.7%

Fair Value

$558.15

Current Price

$974.86

$416.71 premium

UndervaluedFair: $558.15Overvalued
TRVUndervalued (+75.4%)

Margin of Safety

+75.4%

Fair Value

$1213.50

Current Price

$290.59

$922.91 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1213.50Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

COST5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Market CapQuality
$432.25B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.8410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
29.6%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.71B8/10

Generating 1.7B in free cash flow

TRV6 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Market CapQuality
$65.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
20.7%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.289/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
25.9%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 25.9%

Areas to Watch

COST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
13.5x4/10

Trading at 13.5x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.0%3/10

3.0% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

Operating margin of 3.7%

PEG RatioValuation
5.412/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

TRV4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.364/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.5%4/10

3.5% revenue growth

Free Cash FlowQuality
$02/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.652/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : COST

The strongest argument for COST centers on Market Cap, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : TRV

The strongest argument for TRV centers on P/E Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : COST

The primary concerns for COST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 50.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : TRV

The primary concerns for TRV are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

COST carries more volatility with a beta of 0.99 — expect wider price swings.

COST is growing revenue faster at 9.2% — sustainability is the question.

Monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

TRV scores higher overall (71/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Costco Wholesale Corp

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Costco Wholesale Corporation (doing business as Costco Wholesale and also known simply as Costco) is an American multinational corporation which operates a chain of membership-only (needing a membership to shop there) big-box retail stores. As of 2020, Costco was the fifth largest retailer in the world, and the world's largest retailer of choice and prime beef, organic foods, rotisserie chicken, and wine as of 2016.

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The Travelers Companies Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Travelers Companies, Inc., commonly known as Travelers, is an American insurance company.

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