WallStSmart

Costco Wholesale Corp (COST)vsDollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Costco Wholesale Corp generates 1410% more annual revenue ($286.27B vs $18.96B). COST leads profitability with a 3.0% profit margin vs -15.4%. DLTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.12. DLTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

COST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 2.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.84

DLTR

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 5.5Value: 8.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.82
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

COSTSignificantly Overvalued (-74.5%)

Margin of Safety

-74.5%

Fair Value

$558.44

Current Price

$972.33

$413.89 premium

UndervaluedFair: $558.44Overvalued
DLTRUndervalued (+0.4%)

Margin of Safety

+0.4%

Fair Value

$125.45

Current Price

$105.92

$19.53 discount

UndervaluedFair: $125.45Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

COST5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Market CapQuality
$444.46B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.8410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
29.6%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.71B8/10

Generating 1.7B in free cash flow

DLTR1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
20.1%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 20 in profit

Areas to Watch

COST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
13.4x4/10

Trading at 13.4x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.0%3/10

3.0% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

Operating margin of 3.7%

PEG RatioValuation
5.582/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

DLTR3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.824/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.513/10

Elevated debt levels

Profit MarginProfitability
-15.4%1/10

Currently unprofitable

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : COST

The strongest argument for COST centers on Market Cap, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : DLTR

The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity. PEG of 1.12 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : COST

The primary concerns for COST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 52.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : DLTR

The primary concerns for DLTR are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.51 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

COST profiles as a value stock while DLTR is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

COST carries more volatility with a beta of 0.99 — expect wider price swings.

DLTR is growing revenue faster at 9.4% — sustainability is the question.

COST generates stronger free cash flow (1.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

DLTR scores higher overall (56/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Costco Wholesale Corp

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Costco Wholesale Corporation (doing business as Costco Wholesale and also known simply as Costco) is an American multinational corporation which operates a chain of membership-only (needing a membership to shop there) big-box retail stores. As of 2020, Costco was the fifth largest retailer in the world, and the world's largest retailer of choice and prime beef, organic foods, rotisserie chicken, and wine as of 2016.

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Dollar Tree Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.

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