WallStSmart

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)vsLanzaTech Global Inc. (LNZA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Casella Waste Systems Inc generates 4506% more annual revenue ($1.84B vs $39.88M). CWST leads profitability with a 0.4% profit margin vs -1.9%. CWST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 45/100 (D+).

CWST

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 2.0Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.20

LNZA

Avoid

22

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 5.3Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CWSTSignificantly Overvalued (-1810.0%)

Margin of Safety

-1810.0%

Fair Value

$5.62

Current Price

$76.43

$70.81 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.62Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LNZA.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CWST1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
60.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 60.2% YoY

LNZA0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

CWST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.5%3/10

ROE of 0.5% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.4%3/10

0.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.4%3/10

Operating margin of 4.4%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

LNZA4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$223.71M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-7.0%2/10

ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.7%2/10

Revenue declined 6.7%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CWST

The strongest argument for CWST centers on EPS Growth.

Bull Case : LNZA

LNZA has a balanced fundamental profile.

Bear Case : CWST

The primary concerns for CWST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 636.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LNZA

The primary concerns for LNZA are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CWST profiles as a value stock while LNZA is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

LNZA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.82 — expect wider price swings.

CWST is growing revenue faster at 9.7% — sustainability is the question.

CWST generates stronger free cash flow (39M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CWST scores higher overall (45/100 vs 22/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Casella Waste Systems Inc

INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA

Casella Waste Systems, Inc., is a vertically integrated solid waste service company in the northeastern United States. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.

LanzaTech Global Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA

LanzaTech Global, Inc. is a nature-based carbon refining company in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. The company is headquartered in Skokie, Illinois.

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