WallStSmart

Dow Inc (DOW)vsGreen Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Dow Inc generates 2159% more annual revenue ($41.32B vs $1.83B). GPRE leads profitability with a 6.8% profit margin vs -3.1%. GPRE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.16. GPRE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).

DOW

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 3.5Value: 3.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.43

GPRE

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 8.7Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.53
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

DOWSignificantly Overvalued (-18.5%)

Margin of Safety

-18.5%

Fair Value

$28.70

Current Price

$34.13

$5.43 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.70Overvalued
GPREUndervalued (+51.4%)

Margin of Safety

+51.4%

Fair Value

$31.89

Current Price

$13.72

$18.17 discount

UndervaluedFair: $31.89Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

DOW3 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
19.7%8/10

19.7% revenue growth

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.13B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

GPRE2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

DOW4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
38.892/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.3%2/10

ROE of -3.3% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-73.3%2/10

Earnings declined 73.3%

GPRE4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$975.03M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
6.8%3/10

6.8% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : DOW

The strongest argument for DOW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 19.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : GPRE

The strongest argument for GPRE centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : DOW

The primary concerns for DOW are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : GPRE

The primary concerns for GPRE are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

DOW profiles as a growth stock while GPRE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

GPRE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.15 — expect wider price swings.

DOW is growing revenue faster at 19.7% — sustainability is the question.

DOW generates stronger free cash flow (1.1B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GPRE scores higher overall (59/100 vs 49/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Dow Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Dow Inc. is an American commodity chemical company. The company is headquartered in Midland, Michigan.

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Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

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