WallStSmart

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)vsMethanex Corporation (MEOH)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Methanex Corporation generates 120% more annual revenue ($4.27B vs $1.94B). MEOH leads profitability with a 2.1% profit margin vs -0.8%. MEOH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.20. MEOH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

GPRE

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 3.5Value: 8.7Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.53

MEOH

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.0Value: 6.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.49
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GPREUndervalued (+54.5%)

Margin of Safety

+54.5%

Fair Value

$34.08

Current Price

$14.90

$19.18 discount

UndervaluedFair: $34.08Overvalued
MEOHUndervalued (+8.6%)

Margin of Safety

+8.6%

Fair Value

$53.89

Current Price

$62.90

$9.01 discount

UndervaluedFair: $53.89Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GPRE2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

MEOH5 strengths · Avg: 9.6/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.2010/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Operating MarginProfitability
37.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 37.1%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
75.2%10/10

Revenue surging 75.2% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
164.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 164.7% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

GPRE4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$1.03B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.0%2/10

ROE of -2.0% — below average capital efficiency

MEOH4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.6%3/10

ROE of 0.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
2.1%3/10

2.1% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.223/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GPRE

The strongest argument for GPRE centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : MEOH

The strongest argument for MEOH centers on PEG Ratio, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 75.2% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : GPRE

The primary concerns for GPRE are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : MEOH

The primary concerns for MEOH are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. A P/E of 70.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GPRE profiles as a turnaround stock while MEOH is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

GPRE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.18 — expect wider price swings.

MEOH is growing revenue faster at 75.2% — sustainability is the question.

MEOH generates stronger free cash flow (351M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MEOH scores higher overall (78/100 vs 46/100) and 75.2% revenue growth. GPRE offers better value entry with a 54.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

Methanex Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Methanex Corporation produces and supplies methanol in North America, Asia Pacific, Europe, and South America. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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