WallStSmart

Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc (EPM)vsWoodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Woodside Energy Group Ltd generates 15062% more annual revenue ($12.98B vs $85.64M). WDS leads profitability with a 20.9% profit margin vs 3.6%. EPM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.69. WDS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

EPM

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.7Profit: 4.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.31

WDS

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.37
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EPMSignificantly Overvalued (-681.5%)

Margin of Safety

-681.5%

Fair Value

$0.54

Current Price

$4.47

$3.93 premium

UndervaluedFair: $0.54Overvalued
WDSSignificantly Overvalued (-94.1%)

Margin of Safety

-94.1%

Fair Value

$9.66

Current Price

$23.66

$14.00 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.66Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EPM3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.698/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

WDS3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
20.9%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

EPM4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.0%4/10

2.0% revenue growth

Market CapQuality
$161.72M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
4.3%3/10

ROE of 4.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

3.6% margin — thin

WDS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-11.1%2/10

Revenue declined 11.1%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-14.4%2/10

Earnings declined 14.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EPM

The strongest argument for EPM centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.69 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : WDS

The strongest argument for WDS centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.9% and operating margin at 19.1%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : EPM

The primary concerns for EPM are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 57.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : WDS

The primary concerns for WDS are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

EPM profiles as a value stock while WDS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

EPM carries more volatility with a beta of 0.32 — expect wider price swings.

EPM is growing revenue faster at 2.0% — sustainability is the question.

WDS generates stronger free cash flow (417M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

WDS scores higher overall (53/100 vs 45/100), backed by strong 20.9% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an oil and gas company, is engaged in the development, production, ownership and management of oil and gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing and sale of hydrocarbons in Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa and internationally. The company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

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