Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsEvolution Petroleum Corporation Inc (EPM)
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
$49.02
+1.32%
ENERGY · Cap: $102.25B
EPM
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc
$4.47
-0.89%
ENERGY · Cap: $161.72M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 45164% more annual revenue ($38.76B vs $85.64M). CNQ leads profitability with a 27.9% profit margin vs 3.6%. EPM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.69. CNQ earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
CNQ
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
EPM
Hold45
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$175.97
Current Price
$49.02
$126.95 discount
Margin of Safety
-681.5%
Fair Value
$0.54
Current Price
$4.47
$3.93 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit
Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 2.3B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
1.5% revenue growth
3.7% earnings growth
Expensive relative to growth rate
2.0% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 4.3% — below average capital efficiency
3.6% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CNQ
The strongest argument for CNQ centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.9% and operating margin at 19.6%.
Bull Case : EPM
The strongest argument for EPM centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.69 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CNQ
The primary concerns for CNQ are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : EPM
The primary concerns for EPM are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 57.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
EPM is growing revenue faster at 2.0% — sustainability is the question.
CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CNQ scores higher overall (67/100 vs 45/100), backed by strong 27.9% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an oil and gas company, is engaged in the development, production, ownership and management of oil and gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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