WallStSmart

Ero Copper Corp (ERO)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company generates 276% more annual revenue ($3.47B vs $923.93M). ERO leads profitability with a 31.6% profit margin vs 3.2%. ERO trades at a lower P/E of 8.6x. ERO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

ERO

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 9.5Value: 5.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16

SMG

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 5.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.90
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EROSignificantly Overvalued (-17.9%)

Margin of Safety

-17.9%

Fair Value

$26.73

Current Price

$25.28

$1.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $26.73Overvalued
SMGSignificantly Overvalued (-17.6%)

Margin of Safety

-17.6%

Fair Value

$57.13

Current Price

$70.33

$13.20 premium

UndervaluedFair: $57.13Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ERO6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
32.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.6%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
34.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 34.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
110.4%10/10

Revenue surging 110.4% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SMG3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Debt/EquityHealth
-8.1910/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.988/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Operating MarginProfitability
27.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.7%

Areas to Watch

ERO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

SMG3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.904/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

3.2% margin — thin

Return on EquityProfitability
-47.6%2/10

ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ERO

The strongest argument for ERO centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.6% and operating margin at 34.7%. Revenue growth of 110.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SMG

The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, Operating Margin. PEG of 0.98 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ERO

No major red flags identified for ERO, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : SMG

The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ERO profiles as a growth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.80 — expect wider price swings.

ERO is growing revenue faster at 110.4% — sustainability is the question.

SMG generates stronger free cash flow (201M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ERO scores higher overall (78/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 31.6% margins and 110.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ero Copper Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · COPPER · USA

Ero Copper Corp. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

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