Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company stock (SMG) is currently trading at $66.84. Scotts Miracle-Gro Company PE ratio is 22.32. Scotts Miracle-Gro Company PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.06. Analyst consensus price target for SMG is $75.50. WallStSmart rates SMG as Sell.
- SMG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- SMG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- SMG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- SMG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- SMG fair value vs current price
- SMG insider transactions and insider buying
- Is SMG undervalued or overvalued?
- Scotts Miracle-Gro Company financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- SMG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- SMG analyst price target and Smart Rating
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
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SMG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
SMG is trading near its Graham intrinsic value of $69.86, suggesting the stock is reasonably priced at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Key Strengths (4)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
76.44% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Paying $1.06 for every $1 of annual revenue
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -3.30%, a shrinking business
Very expensive at 21.9x book value
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Solid earnings growth at 11.40%
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 43/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 1.7/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Institutional Own., Price/Sales. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.73), Price/Sales (1.06) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (21.95) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -3.30%, EPS Growth at 11.40%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -47.60%, Operating Margin at -5.28%, Profit Margin at 2.64%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -47.60% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -3.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
SMG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
SMG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.06x sits near its historical average of 1.13x (51th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 51% below its historical high of 2.18x set in Jan 2018, and 187% above its historical low of 0.37x in Jun 2008. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.2x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) · BASIC MATERIALS › AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
The Big Picture
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 3.4B with 330% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 264.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Debt-to-equity ratio of -5.05 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 8M in cash.
Revenue contracted 330% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
Free cash flow is -390M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 410.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.92, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Debt management: total debt of 2.5B is significantly higher than cash (8M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor AGRICULTURAL INPUTS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Scotts Miracle-Gro Company.
Bottom Line
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Scotts Miracle-Gro Company(SMG)
NYSE
BASIC MATERIALS
AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.