WallStSmart

Ero Copper Corp (ERO)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 2157% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $785.84M). ERO leads profitability with a 33.6% profit margin vs 5.3%. ERO trades at a lower P/E of 10.0x. ERO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).

ERO

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 9.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.0

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EROSignificantly Overvalued (-83.1%)

Margin of Safety

-83.1%

Fair Value

$17.20

Current Price

$25.41

$8.21 premium

UndervaluedFair: $17.20Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-980.6%)

Margin of Safety

-980.6%

Fair Value

$14.82

Current Price

$151.51

$136.69 premium

UndervaluedFair: $14.82Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ERO6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
34.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
33.6%10/10

Keeps 34 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
43.6%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 43.6%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
161.3%10/10

Revenue surging 161.3% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$51.70B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

ERO1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-11.0%2/10

Earnings declined 11.0%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.5x4/10

Trading at 19.5x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.1x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ERO

The strongest argument for ERO centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 33.6% and operating margin at 43.6%. Revenue growth of 161.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.27 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ERO

The primary concerns for ERO are EPS Growth.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ERO profiles as a growth stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ERO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.51 — expect wider price swings.

ERO is growing revenue faster at 161.3% — sustainability is the question.

ERO generates stronger free cash flow (58M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ERO scores higher overall (68/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 33.6% margins and 161.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ero Copper Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · COPPER · USA

Ero Copper Corp. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?